As we discuss in previous post about Dividend Discount Method to calculate Cost of Equity. Now we discuss another method that is CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model).
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): It
measure rate of return based on risk on investment. There are two type of risk
- diversified risk which can be minimise due to diversify the investment and
another is non- diversified risk which can affect all firms like change in
government policy, inflation, purchasing power etc. This model is based on some
assumptions related to investors preferences ( investors are risk averse) and
market efficiency (no tax, no investor can affect market price, no transaction
cost, no restriction on investment, all investors have same market knowledge
etc.).
Beta is the measure of systematic risk and it is
always between in 0.5 to 1.75. It can be positive or negative.If it is below 1
it means the asset is less volatile than market or you can say the price of the
asset does not change with change in market condition. And vice versa.
Advantages
of CAPM:
·
It is easy to calculate.
·
It consider systematic risk which
affects all diversified portfolio.
Disadvantages
of CAPM:
·
It does not consider unsystematic risk
which affects only particular stock.
·
The value of beta is never remain same.
·
The risk free rate changes daily
because it is yield on government securities.
Formula:
Ke = Rf + b (Km –
Rf)
Î’i = Co-variance i, m / Variancem
= Co relation coefficient between market and stock * ( standard deviation of stock
return / standard deviation of market return)
W
here,
Ke = Cost of Equity
Rf = Required rate of return on
risk free security
B = beta coefficient
Km = required rate of return on
market portfolio of investment
Co-variance i, m = co variance of stock return with
market return
Variancem
= variance of market return
Example: Suppose
Company X expected return on the market is 10% and beta is 0.7. The risk free
rate is 5%.Find out the cost of equity.
Solution:
Ke = Rf + b (Km –
Rf)
= 5% + 0.7 (10% - 5%)
= 8.5%
If Ke is lower than investors
required rate of return it means stock is overvalued and it’s time to sold it
and if higher than required rate of return then it is undervalued and investors
must buy it.
Example: Companies
Investment information is given below:
Company
|
Initial Investment Rs.
|
Dividend
|
Market Price
|
X
|
30
|
10
|
50
|
Y
|
20
|
5
|
25
|
Z
|
45
|
12
|
100
|
Risk free return = 7%
Find out the required rate of return on market.
Solution:
Company
|
Dividend
|
Capital Appreciation
|
Total
|
Initial Investment Rs.
|
X
|
10
|
20
|
30
|
30
|
Y
|
5
|
5
|
10
|
20
|
Z
|
12
|
55
|
67
|
45
|
107
|
95
|
Km = Total Return / Initial
Investment
= 107/ 95
=112.63%
Example:
Find out the beta coefficient if the standard deviation of Company A is 11% and
market is 15%. The co-relation coefficient is 1.25.
Solution:
Co-relation coefficient between market and stock * (
standard deviation of stock return / standard deviation of market return)
= 1.25 * (15 / 11)
= 1.70
It shows that Company A’s share price
changes more with change in market condition.
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